⚽ FootballData
Oldham

Home

2 – 2
DHT: 21CSV

16 Mar 2024 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
34.3%
Oldham
26.9%
Draw
38.8%
Chesterfield

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Oldham

vs
1.48

Chesterfield

Markets

BTTS58.7%
Over 0.593.3%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.4%
Over 3.532.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.7%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-0
6.9%
0-0
6.7%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.5%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).