Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.6%
St Pauli
11.7%
Draw
83.7%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
St Pauli
vs
2.91
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS43.0%
Over 0.596.6%
Over 1.586.9%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
12.7%
0-3
12.3%
0-4
9.0%
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.6%
1-3
7.4%
1-1
5.6%
1-4
5.4%
0-5
5.2%
0-0
3.4%
1-5
3.1%
2-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).