Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.9%
Espanol
30.3%
Draw
21.8%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
1.19
Espanol
vs
0.70
Leganes
Markets
BTTS34.8%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.1%
Over 2.529.2%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
18.2%
0-0
15.0%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.7%
2-1
7.5%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
4.2%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.0%
2-2
2.6%
4-0
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).