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AHT: 11CSV

07 Dec 2024 · 19:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.4%
Preußen Münster
28.1%
Draw
33.5%
Magdeburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Preußen Münster

vs
1.31

Magdeburg

Markets

BTTS56.3%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.9%
0-0
7.8%
0-1
7.4%
2-0
6.6%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-1
4.0%
1-3
3.5%
3-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).