Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.6%
Ath Bilbao
26.2%
Draw
23.2%
Mallorca
Expected Goals (xG)
1.54
Ath Bilbao
vs
0.96
Mallorca
Markets
BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.5%
Over 3.524.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
12.4%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
9.3%
0-0
8.5%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.0%
3-1
4.8%
2-2
4.5%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).