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25 Oct 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.0%
Kortrijk
25.6%
Draw
28.3%
Beerschot VA

Expected Goals (xG)

1.64

Kortrijk

vs
1.25

Beerschot VA

Markets

BTTS58.1%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.579.1%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.532.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.4%
1-0
8.5%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.1%
0-1
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
5.8%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.1%
3-2
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).