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AHT: 11CSV

15 Nov 2025 · 15:03

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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66.7%
Boreham Wood
19.0%
Draw
14.3%
Tamworth

Expected Goals (xG)

2.44

Boreham Wood

vs
1.07

Tamworth

Markets

BTTS60.7%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.568.1%
Over 3.546.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.9%
1-1
8.5%
3-1
7.7%
3-0
7.2%
1-0
6.6%
2-2
5.1%
4-1
4.7%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
4.2%
3-2
4.2%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).