Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →74.8%
Hoffenheim
15.5%
Draw
9.7%
Schalke 04
Expected Goals (xG)
2.75
Hoffenheim
vs
0.94
Schalke 04
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.2%
Over 3.550.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-0
8.7%
3-1
8.1%
1-1
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
4-0
6.0%
4-1
5.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-2
3.8%
5-0
3.3%
5-1
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).