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29 Mar 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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61.3%
Bradford
20.5%
Draw
18.2%
Tranmere

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Bradford

vs
0.96

Tranmere

Markets

BTTS52.7%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.556.1%
Over 3.533.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
10.9%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
6.5%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
4.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).