Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →20.4%
Clermont
24.0%
Draw
55.6%
Toulouse
Expected Goals (xG)
0.88
Clermont
vs
1.64
Toulouse
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.571.3%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.6%
1-1
11.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
7.8%
1-0
7.4%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-1
5.1%
2-2
4.2%
2-0
3.1%
0-4
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).