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DHT: 01CSV

26 May 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.3%
Huesca
29.9%
Draw
25.8%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Huesca

vs
0.82

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS38.6%
Over 0.586.5%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.2%
Over 3.514.2%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.1%
0-0
13.5%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
11.3%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).