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DHT: 11

03 Aug 2025 · 12:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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39.7%
Cracovia Kraków
25.3%
Draw
35.0%
Lechia Gdańsk

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Cracovia Kraków

vs
1.54

Lechia Gdańsk

Markets

BTTS64.3%
Over 0.595.0%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.7%
Over 3.539.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.4%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
5.9%
2-0
5.6%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.0%
0-2
4.9%
3-1
4.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).