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12 Mar 2022 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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27.6%
Blackpool
28.5%
Draw
43.9%
Swansea

Expected Goals (xG)

1.07

Blackpool

vs
1.41

Swansea

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.7%
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.545.0%
Over 3.523.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.9%
0-0
9.3%
1-2
8.9%
0-2
8.4%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
6.7%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
4.2%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).