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20 Sept 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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50.7%
Sheffield United
29.8%
Draw
19.5%
Charlton

Expected Goals (xG)

1.38

Sheffield United

vs
0.76

Charlton

Markets

BTTS40.8%
Over 0.587.2%
Over 1.564.1%
Over 2.536.1%
Over 3.516.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
15.2%
1-1
13.4%
0-0
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
3-0
5.2%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
3.9%
0-2
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).