Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.9%
St Etienne
17.3%
Draw
15.8%
Amiens
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
St Etienne
vs
0.99
Amiens
Markets
BTTS55.7%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.563.4%
Over 3.541.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
1-0
9.4%
1-1
7.9%
3-0
7.5%
3-1
7.4%
2-2
4.9%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
4-1
4.2%
3-2
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).