Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.3%
Almeria
24.6%
Draw
47.2%
Celta
Expected Goals (xG)
1.27
Almeria
vs
1.70
Celta
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.580.1%
Over 2.557.1%
Over 3.534.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
8.3%
0-2
7.4%
2-1
7.0%
1-0
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.5%
1-3
5.3%
0-3
4.2%
2-0
4.1%
2-3
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).