Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.6%
Kidderminster
25.6%
Draw
54.8%
Chesterfield
Expected Goals (xG)
0.95
Kidderminster
vs
1.73
Chesterfield
Markets
BTTS51.2%
Over 0.592.1%
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.549.9%
Over 3.528.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
0-1
11.0%
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
7.9%
0-3
5.9%
1-3
5.6%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
5.3%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
3.1%
2-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).