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HHT: 10CSV

15 Jul 2020 · 17:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.6%
Brentford
29.1%
Draw
22.2%
Preston

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Brentford

vs
0.88

Preston

Markets

BTTS45.4%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
13.2%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
10.1%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.9%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).