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23 Nov 2021 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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67.5%
Stockport
21.3%
Draw
11.2%
King’s Lynn

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Stockport

vs
0.70

King’s Lynn

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.0%
0-0
7.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-0
4.6%
0-1
3.8%
2-2
3.3%
1-2
3.3%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).