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14 Oct 2023 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.3%
Hull
20.7%
Draw
21.0%
Biggleswade

Expected Goals (xG)

2.02

Hull

vs
1.12

Biggleswade

Markets

BTTS58.2%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.581.8%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.5%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
5.9%
2-2
5.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-1
5.2%
0-0
4.0%
3-2
3.7%
4-1
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).