Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →76.6%
AEK
15.8%
Draw
7.6%
OFI Crete
Expected Goals (xG)
2.57
AEK
vs
0.72
OFI Crete
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.584.7%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
3-0
10.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-1
7.6%
1-1
7.5%
4-0
6.8%
4-1
4.9%
0-0
4.3%
5-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).