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06 Mar 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.4%
Stoke
33.0%
Draw
22.5%
Wycombe

Expected Goals (xG)

1.16

Stoke

vs
0.74

Wycombe

Markets

BTTS37.1%
Over 0.584.0%
Over 1.557.7%
Over 2.529.6%
Over 3.512.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.2%
0-0
16.0%
1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
7.4%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.1%
3-0
3.9%
3-1
2.9%
2-2
2.8%
1-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).