Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →52.0%
Genoa
25.1%
Draw
22.9%
Spal
Expected Goals (xG)
1.56
Genoa
vs
0.93
Spal
Markets
BTTS47.7%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
0-0
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
2-2
4.4%
0-2
3.6%
3-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).