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25 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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38.3%
Korona Kielce
30.2%
Draw
31.5%
Katowice

Expected Goals (xG)

1.25

Korona Kielce

vs
1.11

Katowice

Markets

BTTS48.8%
Over 0.589.4%
Over 1.569.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.3%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
10.6%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.8%
2-2
4.5%
3-1
3.4%
3-0
3.1%
1-3
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).