Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.3%
Sudtirol
32.0%
Draw
38.7%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
0.98
Sudtirol
vs
1.17
Parma
Markets
BTTS44.3%
Over 0.587.0%
Over 1.564.5%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.0%
0-1
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.8%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
3.0%
3-1
2.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).