Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →47.3%
Yeovil
29.1%
Draw
23.5%
Dover Athletic
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Yeovil
vs
0.93
Dover Athletic
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.541.5%
Over 3.520.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
12.6%
0-0
10.7%
2-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).