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17 Aug 2024 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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46.6%
AFC Wimbledon
33.1%
Draw
20.3%
Kidsgrove Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

1.03

AFC Wimbledon

vs
0.57

Kidsgrove Athletic

Markets

BTTS27.6%
Over 0.580.2%
Over 1.547.2%
Over 2.521.7%
Over 3.57.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
21.2%
0-0
19.8%
0-1
11.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-0
10.8%
2-1
6.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
2-2
1.7%
4-0
1.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).