Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Bournemouth
31.6%
Draw
30.7%
Nott'm Forest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Bournemouth
vs
1.01
Nott'm Forest
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.536.8%
Over 3.517.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.5%
0-0
12.6%
1-0
12.1%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-2
5.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-1
3.0%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).