Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →9.2%
Monza
17.5%
Draw
73.3%
Atalanta
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60
Monza
vs
2.14
Atalanta
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.551.6%
Over 3.529.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
14.8%
0-1
14.0%
0-3
10.6%
1-2
8.9%
1-1
8.1%
1-3
6.3%
0-0
6.3%
0-4
5.7%
1-0
4.0%
1-4
3.4%
2-2
2.7%
2-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).