⚽ FootballData
4 – 2
HHT: 22CSV

20 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
34.2%
Kidderminster
27.5%
Draw
38.3%
Aldershot

Expected Goals (xG)

1.33

Kidderminster

vs
1.42

Aldershot

Markets

BTTS56.8%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
1-2
8.6%
0-1
8.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-0
7.5%
0-0
7.4%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.7%
2-0
5.7%
1-3
4.1%
3-1
3.6%
0-3
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).