Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.1%
Fleetwood Town
21.7%
Draw
59.2%
Sheffield Weds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.73
Sheffield Weds
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.547.7%
Over 3.526.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.0%
0-2
11.4%
1-1
10.2%
1-2
9.6%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
6.6%
0-3
6.6%
1-3
5.6%
2-1
4.7%
2-2
4.1%
0-4
2.8%
2-0
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).