Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →3.4%
Sheffield Weds
11.4%
Draw
85.1%
Leeds
Expected Goals (xG)
0.44
Sheffield Weds
vs
2.77
Leeds
Markets
BTTS33.9%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.562.2%
Over 3.540.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
15.4%
0-3
14.2%
0-1
10.8%
0-4
9.9%
1-2
6.8%
1-3
6.3%
0-5
5.5%
1-1
5.3%
0-0
4.4%
1-4
4.4%
1-5
2.4%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).