Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.2%
Mantova
30.5%
Draw
42.3%
Modena
Expected Goals (xG)
1.00
Mantova
vs
1.30
Modena
Markets
BTTS47.2%
Over 0.588.7%
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.520.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.3%
0-1
11.8%
0-0
11.3%
1-0
8.7%
0-2
8.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.2%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.7%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).