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08 Mar 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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69.8%
Wrexham
19.4%
Draw
10.8%
Rotherham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.84

Wrexham

vs
0.53

Rotherham

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.591.5%
Over 1.567.8%
Over 2.542.4%
Over 3.521.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
17.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-0
9.7%
0-0
8.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-1
8.4%
0-1
5.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-0
4.4%
1-2
2.4%
4-1
2.4%
2-2
2.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).