Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.9%
Brighton
17.9%
Draw
9.2%
Ipswich
Expected Goals (xG)
2.50
Brighton
vs
0.83
Ipswich
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.585.5%
Over 2.564.6%
Over 3.542.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
11.2%
3-0
9.4%
2-1
9.3%
1-1
8.4%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
5.9%
4-1
4.8%
0-0
4.6%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
1-2
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).