Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.7%
Macclesfield
31.3%
Draw
40.0%
Northampton
Expected Goals (xG)
0.81
Macclesfield
vs
1.02
Northampton
Markets
BTTS34.9%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.554.0%
Over 2.527.7%
Over 3.511.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.9%
0-0
15.6%
1-0
13.5%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
8.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
5.3%
0-3
2.8%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.3%
3-1
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).