Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Norwich
26.9%
Draw
24.1%
Bristol City
Expected Goals (xG)
1.58
Norwich
vs
1.04
Bristol City
Markets
BTTS52.1%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.5%
Over 3.526.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
9.1%
0-0
8.2%
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.0%
2-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).