Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →27.8%
Parma
28.6%
Draw
43.7%
Genoa
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Parma
vs
1.23
Genoa
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.588.6%
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.536.5%
Over 3.517.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.6%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.4%
1-0
10.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
6.1%
2-0
4.9%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-3
3.3%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).