Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.9%
Almeria
20.1%
Draw
19.0%
Andorra
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Almeria
vs
1.11
Andorra
Markets
BTTS59.0%
Over 0.596.2%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-0
8.9%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.0%
3-0
6.3%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
0-1
4.4%
3-2
3.9%
0-0
3.8%
4-1
3.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).