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08 Mar 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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28.7%
Gillingham
27.2%
Draw
44.1%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

0.98

Gillingham

vs
1.29

Bradford

Markets

BTTS44.6%
Over 0.590.1%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.9%
1-1
12.6%
1-0
10.7%
0-0
9.9%
0-2
8.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
0-3
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-1
2.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).