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22 Nov 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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44.1%
Bolton
28.2%
Draw
27.7%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.15

Bolton

vs
0.84

Bradford

Markets

BTTS37.6%
Over 0.587.4%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.532.0%
Over 3.514.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.9%
0-0
12.6%
0-1
12.6%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
5.5%
0-2
4.8%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
2.9%
1-3
1.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).