Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →43.8%
Standard
31.1%
Draw
25.1%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
1.18
Standard
vs
0.82
Dender
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.586.0%
Over 1.560.0%
Over 2.532.4%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.5%
0-0
14.0%
1-1
13.6%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.4%
2-1
7.7%
1-2
5.4%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-1
3.0%
1-3
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).