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20 Apr 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.0%
Tromsø
13.5%
Draw
7.5%
Kristiansund

Expected Goals (xG)

2.67

Tromsø

vs
0.71

Kristiansund

Markets

BTTS47.3%
Over 0.596.7%
Over 1.585.1%
Over 2.565.7%
Over 3.543.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.1%
3-0
10.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
7.2%
1-1
6.4%
4-1
5.1%
5-0
3.9%
0-0
3.3%
2-2
3.1%
5-1
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).