Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →69.0%
Manchester City
21.0%
Draw
9.9%
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Expected Goals (xG)
2.14
Manchester City
vs
0.71
Wolverhampton Wanderers
Markets
BTTS46.2%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.9%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.2%
1-0
11.2%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
9.4%
0-0
7.0%
3-1
6.7%
4-0
5.0%
4-1
3.6%
2-2
3.4%
1-2
3.1%
0-1
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).