Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →70.5%
Sp Braga
17.4%
Draw
12.1%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
2.22
Sp Braga
vs
0.78
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS47.8%
Over 0.595.4%
Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.557.5%
Over 3.535.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
12.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-0
9.1%
1-1
8.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-0
5.0%
0-0
4.6%
0-1
4.3%
4-1
3.9%
2-2
3.7%
1-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).