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21 Dec 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.0%
Woking
28.5%
Draw
22.5%
Altrincham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.47

Woking

vs
0.92

Altrincham

Markets

BTTS47.2%
Over 0.589.7%
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.542.6%
Over 3.521.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.4%
1-0
12.5%
0-0
10.3%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
9.1%
0-1
7.4%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.5%
2-2
4.2%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).