Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.6%
Gent
17.6%
Draw
58.9%
Bury
Expected Goals (xG)
1.69
Gent
vs
2.67
Bury
Markets
BTTS75.6%
Over 0.598.9%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.580.9%
Over 3.563.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
7.7%
1-3
6.9%
2-2
6.5%
2-3
5.8%
1-1
5.6%
2-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
1-4
4.6%
0-3
4.1%
2-4
3.9%
3-2
3.7%
0-1
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).