Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.3%
Pilkington
10.8%
Draw
77.9%
Longridge Town
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Pilkington
vs
4.05
Longridge Town
Markets
BTTS80.6%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.597.8%
Over 2.592.7%
Over 3.582.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-4
6.0%
1-3
6.0%
2-4
5.2%
2-3
5.1%
1-5
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-5
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
3.5%
0-3
3.5%
3-4
3.0%
3-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).