Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Middlesbrough
25.7%
Draw
24.7%
Wrexham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.72
Middlesbrough
vs
1.16
Wrexham
Markets
BTTS57.3%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.555.0%
Over 3.532.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
8.3%
0-0
6.5%
1-2
6.5%
2-2
5.6%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.5%
3-0
4.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).