Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.2%
Zaragoza
31.0%
Draw
46.8%
Las Palmas
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69
Zaragoza
vs
1.15
Las Palmas
Markets
BTTS33.8%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.554.6%
Over 2.527.9%
Over 3.511.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.4%
0-0
15.8%
1-1
12.5%
1-0
11.1%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-1
4.3%
0-3
4.0%
2-0
3.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
0-4
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).